# Regulated Prediction Markets Wealthsimple Has Launched Wealthsimple Predict By Adam Harrie | Published 2026-06-20 | Business Source: Trend Hunter, https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/wealthsimple-predict References: [news.kalshi](https://news.kalshi.com/p/wealthsimple-predict-kalshi-canada-prediction-markets)  Wealthsimple announced Wealthsimple Predict, a standalone app that gives Canadian retail investors access to roughly 4,000 Kalshi event-based contracts across climate, financial markets and economic indicators. The app, launching this summer, follows Wealthsimple's authorization from the [Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/dualearning-reward-system), making it the second investment dealer approved to offer [prediction market trading](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/okay-bet) in Canada. Each contract poses a yes-or-no question about a real-world outcome and settles at $1 or $0 upon resolution, with prices reflecting the market's collective probability estimate. Wealthsimple built education and guardrails into onboarding, including a guided first trade, risk disclosures and liquidity warnings for lower-activity markets. Access is limited to Canadian residents who complete standard identity verification. Wealthsimple's launch shows how [regulated financial platforms](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/devere-canada) are beginning to bring real-world event trading to mainstream retail investors. Image Credit: Wealthsimple/Kalshi ## Trend Insights (Trend Hunter) - Score: 6.3/10 - Popularity: 51% | Activity: 57% | Freshness: 81% - Audience gender: 50% men, 50% women - Primary generations: Millennial, Gen X - Top markets: North America ## Categories [Trend Hunter](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends) > [Business](https://www.trendhunter.com/business) > [New Ventures](https://www.trendhunter.com/newventures) ## Key Themes ### What's Driving This Trend - **Event-based Investing:** Retail portfolios are expanding into contracts tied to climate, economics and market outcomes, creating space for accessible products that translate real-world uncertainty into tradable probabilities. - **Compliance-first Prediction Markets:** Regulated market structures are making event trading more credible for mainstream investors, with investor protections and identity verification reducing barriers to institutional acceptance. - **Probability-driven Decision Tools:** Live contract prices are becoming practical signals for forecasting public outcomes, opening new value in interfaces that turn market sentiment into business intelligence. ### Who This Affects Most - **Fintech:** Consumer finance platforms are gaining new engagement models through regulated speculative products that combine trading, education and risk controls in standalone digital experiences. - **Online Brokerage:** Brokerage ecosystems are evolving beyond traditional securities as event-based contracts create differentiated inventory for retail investors seeking short-duration exposure. - **Financial Data Analytics:** Market-implied probabilities from prediction contracts are emerging as alternative data streams for analysts, risk teams and strategists tracking economic and geopolitical uncertainty. ## Related on Trend Hunter - [Prediction Market Soccer Partnerships](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/serie-a.md) - [Sports Venue Sponsorships](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/madison-square-garden.md) - [Prediction Market Platforms](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/reflect-market.md) - [Next-Generation Cryptocurrency Ecosystems](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/cryptocurrency-ecosystem.md) - [Risk Analysis Tools](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/strike-price.md) - [Financial Planning Platforms](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/wealthspace.md) - [Fantasy Sports Apps](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/fantasy-sports-app.md) - [Prediction Market Integrations](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/prediction-market.md) - [Embedded Prediction Market Shares](https://www.trendhunter.com/trends/kalshi-share-button.md)