Moore's Law states that the speed of computing doubles every two years. No longer will Gordon Moore make such statements. Speaking to Intel, he conceded that law which has proved correct since transistors will likely be untrue in 15 years. Shrinking semi-conductors may no longer be possible. Is this the golden age of computing coming to and end?
"Moore's first prediction was based upon the progress of the integrated chip up until that point, which showed that since the introduction of the first planar transistor in 1959, there had been a doubling of components contained on a single chip every year. Moore's wasn't a particularly rigorous line of scientific enquiry, but then history is full of brilliant ideas derived from the intuitive reasoning of geniuses. â€œI took that first few points, up to 60 components on a chip in 1965 and blindly extrapolated for about 10 years and said okay, in 1975 we'll have about 60 thousand components on a chip,â€ recalls Moore."
Implications - The referral to the current digitization of society as the 'Golden Age of Computing' implies that this is a fad; however, th blogosphere has changed the way consumer communicate and thus, is likely to last.
Gordon Moore's Predicition
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