Intel Told Golden Age of PCs May be Now
Going Like Sixty — January 8, 2008 — Unique
References: scienceagogo
Moore's Law states that the speed of computing doubles every two years. No longer will Gordon Moore make such statements. Speaking to Intel, he conceded that law which has proved correct since transistors will likely be untrue in 15 years. Shrinking semi-conductors may no longer be possible. Is this the golden age of computing coming to and end?
"Moore's first prediction was based upon the progress of the integrated chip up until that point, which showed that since the introduction of the first planar transistor in 1959, there had been a doubling of components contained on a single chip every year. Moore's wasn't a particularly rigorous line of scientific enquiry, but then history is full of brilliant ideas derived from the intuitive reasoning of geniuses. “I took that first few points, up to 60 components on a chip in 1965 and blindly extrapolated for about 10 years and said okay, in 1975 we'll have about 60 thousand components on a chip,†recalls Moore."
Implications - The referral to the current digitization of society as the 'Golden Age of Computing' implies that this is a fad; however, th blogosphere has changed the way consumer communicate and thus, is likely to last.
"Moore's first prediction was based upon the progress of the integrated chip up until that point, which showed that since the introduction of the first planar transistor in 1959, there had been a doubling of components contained on a single chip every year. Moore's wasn't a particularly rigorous line of scientific enquiry, but then history is full of brilliant ideas derived from the intuitive reasoning of geniuses. “I took that first few points, up to 60 components on a chip in 1965 and blindly extrapolated for about 10 years and said okay, in 1975 we'll have about 60 thousand components on a chip,†recalls Moore."
Implications - The referral to the current digitization of society as the 'Golden Age of Computing' implies that this is a fad; however, th blogosphere has changed the way consumer communicate and thus, is likely to last.
Trend Themes
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End of Moore's Law — The shrinking of semi-conductors may no longer be possible, leading to the end of Moore's Law and the need for alternative technological advancements.
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Golden Age of Computing — The current digitization of society has created a 'Golden Age of Computing' with new communication methods that are likely to endure.
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Changing Landscape of Chip Design — The potential end of Moore's Law will necessitate a shift in chip design processes and the exploration of new methods to enhance computing power.
Industry Implications
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Semiconductor Manufacturing — The potential end of Moore's Law presents an opportunity for the semiconductor manufacturing industry to pioneer alternative methods to traditional transistor shrinking.
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Information Technology (IT) — The 'Golden Age of Computing' creates opportunities for the information technology industry to capitalize on the changing ways consumers communicate and interact with technology.
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Computer Chip Design — The changing landscape of chip design, influenced by the potential end of Moore's Law, opens doors for the computer chip design industry to explore innovative approaches for enhancing computing capabilities.
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