Earthquake Predictions - Great Southern California Shake-Out (GALLERY)

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Elsa Blaine
On: May 24, 08
359 Trends
203 Comments


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Earthquake Predictions - Great Southern California Shake-Out (GALLERY)
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Southern California residents are gearing up for an earthquake in the likes of the recent devastating tremor in China. A new report released from the US Geological Survey and the California Geological Survey warns of the inevitability of a 7.8 magnitude quake along the San Andreas fault and the resulting deaths of thousands and $200 billion in damage.

The study has resulted in what is being called, “The Great Southern California Shake-Out”, scheduled for November 12-16, 2008. The ‘Shake-Out’ will be the, “country’s largest-ever earthquake preparedness exercise,” and will include, “the largest earthquake drill in U.S. history.”

The report says Southern Californians “have the opportunity to work together to write this ending . . . through the decisions they make—or don’t make—to get ready for earthquakes.”

The scientists prepared a hypothetical model in which the quake occurs on Nov. 13, 2008, at 10 a.m., starting near the eastern shore of the Salton Sea and traveling northwest along the fault at two miles per second. A narrative, much like a movie script, depicts the "realistic outcome" of the quake. The temblor would disrupt the movement of goods to and from major ports; manufacturing plants would halt production and face additional costs to transport goods out of the region; and hundreds of older commercial office buildings would crumble. "Businesses forced to close have a domino effect," the report says, "and as the chances diminish for regaining jobs or finding new ones, more and more people are struggling to rebuild their lives." The report predicts that financial institutions would face a growing number of loans in default as businesses collapsed and individuals gave up on recouping their losses. Competition for building materials and construction crews would be fierce. Widespread fires caused by the quake and disruption of water, power and gas supplies would add to the economic toll. (latimes)




Read More: shakeout.org   Via: latimes  


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Comments:


This is quite scary but then Southern Californians already know the odds.

By: Pearl on May 24, 08 | 551 Trends | 75 Comments

I agree Pearl, this is really scary. At the same time, how amazing is it that we can prepare as a result of early detection? On the other hand, it evokes fear and that is never a good energy to be held by society.

By: Bianca Bartz on May 25, 08 | 3548 Trends | 807 Comments

Yes, we are lucky to be living in an age where we do have the technology to warn us as much as possible and to build safer buildings. We shouldn't worry over much as Bianca says.

By: Pearl on May 25, 08 | 551 Trends | 75 Comments

The early detection is not really reliable. Has it ever worked? We can calculate odds and know history repeats it self, but ...

By: Hjortur on May 26, 08 | 102 Trends | 97 Comments

The Shake-Out drill isn't really focused on early detection, it's a planned exercise for the people of Southern Califoria to prepare themselves during a hypothetical mega-quake. Like a fire drill for earthquakes. I think it is a good thing to plan for possible disasters. Especially if you live in a high risk area.

By: Elsa Blaine on May 26, 08 | 397 Trends | 203 Comments



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