Computer scientist Peter Norvig's predicting technology keynote discusses the different ways to evaluate technological change of the past and of the future. He begins his speech by reviewing some of the predictions that can actually be evaluated today such as the one that photographs would eventually be printed in color, that the letters 'c,' 'x' and 'q' would be omitted from the alphabet or that no mosquitoes, flies or animals would exist except for in zoos.
While there isn't much literature on this, Norivg explains that the individuals who based their predictions on a grand theory or ideology were typically incorrect. Comparing large and diverse amounts of data was much likely to produce a more accurate prediction.
As Norvig points out, looking at how technology affects the human population in terms of the environment and GDP is what researchers should be focusing on.
Stats for Future of Technological Change
Trending: Older & Mild
Research: 511 clicks in 203 w
Interest: > 3 minutes
Concept: Predicting Technology Speech
Related: 13 examples / 10 photos
Segment: Neutral, 18-55+
Comparison Set: 5 similar articles, including: the future of learning, the future of digital technology, and innovating for value.
Future of Technological Change
More Stats +/-
The Future of Digital Technology
The Future of Learning
Innovating for Value
Predicting Behavior over Technology
21st Century Learning
Peter Norvig Keynotes
The Peter Norvig speeches explain the concept of revolutionizing education and effectively...
Get inspired by our collection of 2,000+ keynote speaker videos and 100+ courses of innovative content.